Sunday, March 28, 2010

MESAQ - CUP AND HANDLE FORMATION


THIS IS AN EXAMPLE OF A POSSIBLE CUP-AND-HANDLE FORMATION, WHERE THE HANDLE IS CURRENTLY BEING FORMED.

Cup-and-Handle formations are bullish chart patterns, and they get their names because the chart formation actually looks like a small tea cup with a handle. The important thing to watch for now that the "cup" has formed is the length of the handle. If the handle hangs out there for too long, the chart pattern breaks down. This particular chart shows the trading action taking the stock price across the "handle" trading channel. This is a good sign that the selling pressure has dissipated, and that the bulls will test pushing through the upside of the trading channel for an upside breakout. Upon breaking out to the upside, watch for the stock to charge the 200dma at around .146. That line is a strong line of resistance, and once broken will become a strong line of support.

Saturday, March 27, 2010

EIGH - BULLISH FLAG PATTERN CHART FORMATION



This is a Classic Flag Pattern Formation Chart Set-Up.

The bull run that began in the .04's and took this stock to .139 created the "flag pole." The flag pole is characterized by high volume buying pressure, where the bulls controlled the direction of the stock and pushed it to higher trading ranges. Now, as much as traders would like for stocks to go straight up, they do not, and they have to "cool off." The cooling off period is also known as the"consolidation" period. The stock consolidates or cools off from the highs, and basically comes down in price. This consolidation period is characterized by what many refer to as a "low volume pullback." What this means is that the buying pressure has dissipated, and some sellers have entered the market, but the good news is that the consolidation volume is lower than the bull run volume. (Many times the volume will decrease below the daily average volume during consolidation.) This particular consolidation period has found a trading range and trading channel that has formed what looks like a "flag" on the chart. This flag is characterized by the drop in price as well as the drop in volume. Once the flag's trading channel runs out of room within the "flag-like" triangle, a break will occur. During an uptrend, this break is to the upside, but if the chart pattern breaks down, it will occur to the downside, signaling a breakdown in the chart and it's bullish pattern. Another key indicator regarding the flag pattern, is the closer the flag gets to being formed, the lower the volume drops. This is key. As the trading channel tightens, so does the volume. A breakout to the upside will confirm that the bulls are back in control of the stock, a bullish resurgence in volume will return, and higher trading ranges will be established. The current drop in price with low volume is exactly what traders want during a sustainable uptrend. Many traders will wait for a "break-out" to the upside of that flag as confirmation that the stock will continue to be bullish, and will enter after that "break-out." An entry after the upside breakout is less risky, but less profitable too. If an upside break-out occurs, the new low will be put in and the uptrend will continue.

Wednesday, March 24, 2010

Continue to add eigh and mesaq at current levels...

continue to add eigh on current pullback...essentially still buying other people's fear here for eventual large gains...I accumulate almost every day until we have found the bottom...also added to mesaq at .105 the other day to my war chest at .05 core...cemjq got knocked around today, but that was mm garbage...overall my account has pulled back about 30% in the past six weeks, but like my stocks, it continues to make higher highs, and higher lows...previous account balance high, will become new account balance low, as I march toward my goals...secret to my success? easy....learn to read charts...read the mor's and court doc's relating to my chapter 11 Q plays...level 2 access....maximize gains and minimize risk...that's how you make $$$...follow me to the promised land, and the green will set you free...ps....still hunting for my next winner....enjoy

Tuesday, March 23, 2010

Basics of Volume.

Volume is a very useful tool in helping traders understand how a stock is trading. At its most basic and fundamental level, volume is simply the number of shares or contracts traded in a security within a specific time frame. Time frames can be 5 seconds to 1 day to 1 year and beyond, depending on how a trader is trading a stock, security, or contract. For every buyer in the market, there is a seller, and for every seller, there is a buyer. When these shares exchange hands from buyer to seller and vice versa, this becomes what is known as "volume" of shares traded on an exchange. To keep it very simple, take a look at the following:

Buyer A owns 10,000 shares of Stock XYZ.

Seller B buys 10,000 shares of Stock XYZ from Buyer A.

The total volume on that trade between Buyer A and Seller B is 10,000 shares of Stock XYZ.

If this one trade was the only trade of Stock XYZ for the given trading period or day, the total volume for that day would be 10,000 shares.

Now within the basic concept of volume, there exists "buy" volume and "sell" volume. Buy volume and sell volume, what the heck is that? Well, again, to keep it simple, buy volume is the amount of volume dedicated to buyers in the market place. For every seller, there is a buyer, and the buyers are included in the "buy" volume. A buyer "buys" from the seller. Well, how do you know the difference between buy volume and sell volume? Seems difficult, but it is not. Buyers drive the price up. So when someone sees a stock price increasing, basically "buy volume", also know as "buying pressure", is applied to the stock, which drives the stock price up. I also like to call it "Bulls on Parade." Buyers are in control of the security whenever the buy volume is high, which creates a "bullish" market for the security.

Sell volume is the exact opposite of buy volume. For every buyer, there is a seller, and the sellers are included in the "sell" volume. A seller "sells" to the buyer. So when someone sees a stock price decreasing, basically "sell volume", also know as selling pressure, is applied to the stock, which drives the price down. I also like to call it "Bears on Parade." Sellers are in control of the security whenever the sell volume is high, which creates a "bearish" market for the security.

Volume and the direction of the stock will tell you if the market is bullish or bearish for a particular security.

Basic Bull Volume: High (Increased) volume + Buying Pressure = Bulls are in control, ie stock price is driving higher.

Basic Bear Volume: High (Increased) volume + Selling Pressure = Bears are in control, ie stock price is driving lower.

To sum up, volume is a key indicator that tells us a bull market vs a bear market and who is controlling these markets.
These are the basics of volume, and I will be writing more about volume as it relates to the "bid/ask" spread.

I have included a link to investopedia's definition of volume above in the title.